导出博客文章If Exaggerator wins Saturdays Travers Stakes, the centerpiece of a Saratoga meet
that is annually the best race in North America, he will have built a case for
this years champion 3-year-old male that will be difficult, if not impossible,
to overcome.I suppose if Nyquist won the Breeders Cup Classic and defeated
Exaggerator in the process, it might tip the balance for this divisional title
back in his favor. But thats a tall order. While a lot can happen between now
and the Breeders Cup Classic on Nov. 5 at Santa Anita, the truth is neither
Nyquist nor Exaggerator have yet shown they are in the same league as our two
top older males -- California Chrome, who was monstrous winning last weeks
Pacific Classic, and Frosted, so impressive winning the Met Mile and Whitney in
his past two starts.So, short of some Breeders Cup Classic fireworks, a victory
Saturday in the Travers by Exaggerator will put Nyquist in an Eclipse Award hole
that he wont be able to get out of. A resume of victories in the Travers,
Haskell, Preakness and Santa Anita Derby, and a second in the Kentucky Derby,
would outshine Nyquists record this year of wins in the Kentucky Derby, Florida
Derby and San Vicente, a third in the Preakness, and whatever he might do
between now and the Breeders Cup, if anything.Of course, all of this depends on
if Exaggerator wins the Travers. And that is a HUGE if. Exaggerator might be by
far the most accomplished member of this bulky 14-horse Travers field, but his
accomplishments were not fashioned in a vacuum. In fact, the way Exaggerator has
compiled his record this year has made him one of the most polarizing horses of
2016, and makes him vulnerable Saturday.Some handicappers, this one included,
maintain that Exaggerator has been extremely fortunate over the past 5? months.
Exaggerator is a horse who requires a hot and contested pace to make his late
run most effective, and he is a horse who relishes a wet racing surface.
Exaggerator has been blessed in 2016 to have had both far more often than
not.Exaggerator got a scorching early pace and a sloppy track in the Santa Anita
Derby, and he won laughing. He got a hot early pace in the Kentucky Derby, and
while the official track condition for the Kentucky Derby was fast, there was a
big rain storm minutes before the race, leaving standing water in many spots on
the track. Exaggerator finished second, beating 18 opponents.The early pace in
the Preakness was unsustainably fast and the track was a sea of slop, and
Exaggerator scored going away. And the Haskell was a virtual carbon copy of the
Preakness -- too hot an early pace, a sloppy track, and Exaggerator won
decisively.But in the Belmont Stakes, Exaggerator saw an early pace that, while
reasonably honest for the distance, was by no means fast. Exaggerator also
caught a dry racing surface, and he had lost his prior three dry track starts.
As the strong 7-5 favorite in the Belmont, Exaggerator surrendered, finished
11th of 13, and was beaten by 14 lengths.On Saturday, Exaggerator will get only
half of what he wants. The pace in the Travers should be honest, with the
potential of it going even a little faster than that. Barring an unforeseen
track bias -- with a couple of isolated exceptions, the main track at Saratoga
has for the most part played fairly this year -- the pace will play toward the
late kick of Exaggerator, and other closers like him.However, unless the
National Weather Services forecast for Saratoga is horribly wrong, Exaggerator
will not catch the wet track that was present in all of his big performances
this year, and, for that matter, in his Delta Downs Jackpot win last year. And
that presents an interesting question.There are those who maintain that
Exaggerator is more pace dependent than he is surface dependent, and might even
go so far as to say he is not surface dependent at all. And to support their
position, they will point to his win on a fast track in last summers Saratoga
Special, even if that victory came at the expense of a suspect field.There are
others who believe Exaggerator needs both a fast pace and a wet track, perhaps
not in equal measure, but both, nonetheless, to produce his best performance in
top-level races. I fall into this camp.This storyline is just one of several
reasons why this Travers is so interesting. We might get the definitive answer
as to whether Exaggerator is indeed a creation of both tremendously favorable
pace set ups, and rainy weather, or if he is more than that.
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and he eventually backstopped the Kings to a skid-snapping win. Quick stopped 27
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Zvonareva, who won the tournament in 2009 and 10, couldnt handle her opponents
big groundstrokes in only her third event back after 17 months out with a
shoulder injury. Zvonareva made her comeback in January in Shenzhen and played
in the Australian Open but lost her first matches at both tournaments. RIO DE
JANEIRO -- Olympic officials were full of praise when they awarded the Olympics
to Rio seven years ago, never imagining such things as the Zika virus and green
water in the pools.Indeed, they declared that there was absolutely no flaw in
Rios plans for the games.Many of those plans have since gone awry, as plans
often do. The first Olympics in South America remains very much a work in
progress, beset by myriad problems that organizers seem unable -- or unwilling
-- to solve.Midway through the games, its time to give the Rio Olympics some
grades:ATMOSPHERE: This isnt London with its iconic venues, but Rio has some
things going for it as an Olympic host. Beach volleyball on the famed Copacabana
sand looks good, and so does the sailing on Guanabara Bay, assuming you can
ignore the raw sewage that pours into it. But the main Olympic park is barren
and devoid of decoration, the diving and water polo pools are green , and most
of the venues look like they were built without concern about whether they would
stay up. Did we mention the sewage stench that greets fans at some venues? Take
away the occasional samba dancing, and theres not much to get anyone in the
Olympic spirit. GRADE D-plus.ATTITUDE: There has been plenty of it, from U.S.
soccer goalie Hope Solo calling the Swedish team a bunch of cowards to an
Egyptian judoka refusing to shake the hand of his Israeli opponent after a
match. The best attitude of the whole Olympics, though, came from U.S. swimmer
Lilly King, who called out her Russian opponent for doping and then backed it up
by beating her for a gold medal in the pool. These are the best athletes in the
world, and sometimes they have a lot to say, even if some of it is offensive.
GRADE B.WATER: What is it about Brazil and water? The country just cant get it
right. Guanabara Bay looks beautiful on television but dangerous up close, and
the water in the rowing venue is filled with viruses, much to the displeasure of
the pair of Serbian rowers who tipped over in it. Meanwhile, the worlds best
divers plunge into a murky green pool, and water polo was played in a pool so
full of chlorine that they finally had to drain and refill it. GRADE F.CROWDS:
Theres a lot to like about fans who cheer loudly for underdogs and the home
team, and enjoy taunting almost everybody else. OK, maybe they went a bit too
far when chanting Uh! Youre gonna die! Uh! Youre gonna die! to the opponent of a
Brazilian fencer, but it seemed to all be done in fun. On the flip side, there
were lots of empty seats at many events because of high ticket prices or a lack
of interest. GRADE C.SAFETY: A media bus had its windows shattered and stray
bullets were twice fired into Olympic complexes. Two Australian coaches were
robbed at knifepoint near Ipanema beach, and so was Portugals education
minister. Gang members in a favela killed a Brazillian police officer who took a
wrong turn while working Olympic security, and fans attending the opening
ceremony passed by a man shot to death in the street.dddddddddddd Rio was a
dangerous city to begin with, but the incidents are even more disturbing
considering there are more than 85,000 security forces deployed to protect the
games. GRADE D.MEMORABLE PERFORMANCES: Every Olympics has some, even one as
troubled as Rio. Michael Phelps won a bunch of medals once again, but its not
like that hasnt happened before. Indeed, the best moments from the pool came
when Katie Ledecky nearly lapped the field in the 800-meter for her fourth
Olympic gold, and Simone Manuel became the first African-American woman to win a
swimming gold. Not as well noticed outside Brazil was Rafaela Silva taking judo
gold , the first win for the home team. Silva, who grew up in poverty in the
City of God favela, was subjected to racial abuse from Brazilians after missing
out on a medal in the 2012 Olympics. Today, Im not an embarrassment for my
family, she said. GRADE B.DOPING: This has nothing to do with Rio, and
everything to do with the International Olympic Committee allowing politics to
mix with cheaters. Five more have been caught doping so far in these games, but
if history is any indication a lot more will get away with doping in Rio just
like they have in other Olympics. GRADE D.LOGISTICS: Traveling to different
venues has been a nightmare at times, largely because Rio is separated by
mountains and Brazils highways often look more like parking lots. Everyone seems
to have a story about confused taxi drivers and lengthy bus rides, though for
the most part the buses have run on time and theyve usually gone to the right
places. That wasnt true Friday night when British swimmer got on an unmarked bus
at the Olympic village and was taken to the Olympic Stadium 45 minutes away
instead of the nearby swimming arena. Swimming officials had to push back the
50-meter qualifying schedule so she and two others could make it in time. GRADE
C.OVERALL: Rio was always a disaster waiting to happen, and so far disaster has
largely been avoided. Hysteria over the Zika virus has faded, there have been no
terrorist attacks, and only one sailor has reported being sickened by polluted
waters. More importantly, perhaps, the big television show that is the Olympics
looks good on TV, even if NBCs ratings are down.Still, every Olympics has its
problems and Rio has had more than most. If things dont get better in the final
week, that is how these games will ultimately be remembered. GRADE
C-minus.----Tim Dahlberg is a national sports columnist for The Associated
Press. Write to him at tdahlberg(at)ap.org or
http://twitter.com/timdahlberg
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