导出博客文章POCATELLO, Idaho -- Keaton Studsrud threw two touchdown passes and ran for
another to help North Dakota get past an Idaho State upset bid, 28-21, on
Saturday.Tied at 14 at intermission, North Dakota (6-2, 5-0 Big Sky) went 78
yards on 15 plays, culminating with Brady Oliveiras 4-yard run, to take a 21-14
lead. Studsruds 17-yard touchdown pass to Josh Seibel at the start of the fourth
made it a two-score game.Idaho State (2-5, 1-3) made it 28-21 with 1:23 left on
Tanner Guellers 17-yard touchdown pass to Kw Williams -- his second of the day
-- but North Dakota recovered the onside kick and ran out the clock.Studsrud
completed 12 of 20 attempts for 173 yards. John Santiago had 101 yards on 18
carries and Oliveira finished with 46 yards on 16 carries.Gueller went 26 of 49
for 220 yards and three touchdowns and added 32 yards rushing for the Bengals.
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.J. Ellis hit two-run homers and the NL West champion Los Angeles Dodgers
defeated the San Diego Padres 4-0 Saturday night.
Fake Vans Store .35 million, one-year
contract that avoided salary arbitration. Plouffe batted .254 with 14 home runs
and 52 RBIs in 477 at-bats last season, his second as a regular in the lineup.
http://www.fakevans.com/ .J. Ellis hit
two-run homers and the NL West champion Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San
Diego Padres 4-0 Saturday night.
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Open champion Justin Rose birdied the first hole with a blind shot he hit to a
foot of the pin, and he stayed in front Tuesday until he completed a 4-under 67
for a two-shot lead over Jason Dufner in PGA Grand Slam of Golf.
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The Vikings announced Thursday that Priefer will be one of seven holdovers from
the previous staff, along with offensive line coach Jeff Davidson, wide
receivers coach George Stewart and others. Norv Turner will mark his 30th year
of coaching in the NFL as the offensive co-ordinator, as widely reported for
weeks, and George Edwards will be the defensive co-ordinator. New England
Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has been lighting up the NFL since returning from
his early-season suspension, emerging as a top MVP candidate despite missing
four games.The 39-year-old Brady ranks first overall in Total QBR, and has
helped cast the Patriots in the role of most likely Super Bowl champion, at 32
percent according to ESPNs Football Power Index. That said, the data says New
England should be thinking very long and hard about looking elsewhere to fill
the starting QB role next season.The Patriots, more than any other team, have
made a habit of paying for likely future production and not past success. And
though Bradys contract would make it difficult for them to merely part ways
(more on that in a minute), at 39 years old they undoubtedly know whats coming
for Brady.Two of the most dominant quarterbacks of the past 20 years -- Brett
Favre and Peyton Manning -- are, in fact, useful examples to project Bradys
performance in the next few seasons. Favre, Manning and Kurt Warner join Brady
in a rare group of players that even make it to this stage. Average quarterbacks
rarely get a chance to continue to play past their mid-30s; once they show signs
of decline, theyre replaced. What remains are the Favres, Peytons and Warners
(and even Warner stepped away at the age of 38) of the NFL, great quarterbacks
who can continue to rely on their ability to run an offense and take advantage
of defenses, even as their deep throws lose a little of their zip. But even the
greats will eventually fall, as the numbers demonstrate.Bradys performance at
age 38 and up to his current age of 39.5 mirrors that of Manning at the same
age. Brady has posted an average QBR of 70 during those years -- Mannings was
69. After age 39.5, however, Mannings performance declined sharply. For all of
his games after the age of 39.5, he posted an average QBR of 49. The decline was
part of a broader, ominous trend for Brady and older QBs.ESPN senior analytics
specialist Brian Burke detailed this drop-off in a study for Advanced Football
Analytics.All QBs who played when tthey were 38 years old had QBRs above 70 in
between 50 and 70 percent of their games.ddddddddddddBy age 40, their chance of
posting a QBR above 70 drops to below 5 percent. This is the range Brady will be
in at the start of the 2017 season.Availability becomes a major issue as
well.Again, looking at the group of QBs who were playing at the ages of 39 and
39.5, this group has a 71 percent chance of playing at least 10 more games. Once
they get past 40 (where Brady will be when the 2017 season starts), that
percentage drops by half. Only 35 percent who are playing past the age of 39.5
will play 10 or more games.Given the Patriots history of shedding iconic players
(Lawyer Milloy, Logan Mankins, Randy Moss and Richard Seymour, to name a few),
it shouldnt be a surprise if Brady is next on the chopping block, though his
contract could give New England some pause. The Patriots tend to release or
trade players at or near the end of their contracts so there is minimal, if any,
dead money on the salary cap. But remember that Brady signed a new contract
during this past offseason that included a $28 million bonus. By NFL cap rules,
if the Patriots cut Brady after this season, they would carry a cap charge of
$27 million -- nearly twice the price tag for keeping him ($14 million).That
reality means, should Bradys performance decline as the data nearly guarantees
it will, Patriots coach Bill Belichick could find himself in the difficult
position of benching Brady for a younger arm. While Belichick has never been
accused of being overly emotional about his roster decisions, there should be
little doubt that the notion of benching Brady would be an especially delicate
situation for the organization and its fan base.Whatever they decide, there is
no reason to believe that Brady has the ability to beat the overwhelming trend
of aging QBs. Father Time, as they say, is undefeated.For more from ESPN
Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.? ' ' '
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