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  • January 14, 2019
    导出博客文章If Exaggerator wins Saturdays Travers Stakes, the centerpiece of a Saratoga meet
    that is annually the best race in North America, he will have built a case for
    this years champion 3-year-old male that will be difficult, if not impossible,
    to overcome.I suppose if Nyquist won the Breeders Cup Classic and defeated
    Exaggerator in the process, it might tip the balance for this divisional title
    back in his favor. But thats a tall order. While a lot can happen between now
    and the Breeders Cup Classic on Nov. 5 at Santa Anita, the truth is neither
    Nyquist nor Exaggerator have yet shown they are in the same league as our two
    top older males -- California Chrome, who was monstrous winning last weeks
    Pacific Classic, and Frosted, so impressive winning the Met Mile and Whitney in
    his past two starts.So, short of some Breeders Cup Classic fireworks, a victory
    Saturday in the Travers by Exaggerator will put Nyquist in an Eclipse Award hole
    that he wont be able to get out of. A resume of victories in the Travers,
    Haskell, Preakness and Santa Anita Derby, and a second in the Kentucky Derby,
    would outshine Nyquists record this year of wins in the Kentucky Derby, Florida
    Derby and San Vicente, a third in the Preakness, and whatever he might do
    between now and the Breeders Cup, if anything.Of course, all of this depends on
    if Exaggerator wins the Travers. And that is a HUGE if. Exaggerator might be by
    far the most accomplished member of this bulky 14-horse Travers field, but his
    accomplishments were not fashioned in a vacuum. In fact, the way Exaggerator has
    compiled his record this year has made him one of the most polarizing horses of
    2016, and makes him vulnerable Saturday.Some handicappers, this one included,
    maintain that Exaggerator has been extremely fortunate over the past 5? months.
    Exaggerator is a horse who requires a hot and contested pace to make his late
    run most effective, and he is a horse who relishes a wet racing surface.
    Exaggerator has been blessed in 2016 to have had both far more often than
    not.Exaggerator got a scorching early pace and a sloppy track in the Santa Anita
    Derby, and he won laughing. He got a hot early pace in the Kentucky Derby, and
    while the official track condition for the Kentucky Derby was fast, there was a
    big rain storm minutes before the race, leaving standing water in many spots on
    the track. Exaggerator finished second, beating 18 opponents.The early pace in
    the Preakness was unsustainably fast and the track was a sea of slop, and
    Exaggerator scored going away. And the Haskell was a virtual carbon copy of the
    Preakness -- too hot an early pace, a sloppy track, and Exaggerator won
    decisively.But in the Belmont Stakes, Exaggerator saw an early pace that, while
    reasonably honest for the distance, was by no means fast. Exaggerator also
    caught a dry racing surface, and he had lost his prior three dry track starts.
    As the strong 7-5 favorite in the Belmont, Exaggerator surrendered, finished
    11th of 13, and was beaten by 14 lengths.On Saturday, Exaggerator will get only
    half of what he wants. The pace in the Travers should be honest, with the
    potential of it going even a little faster than that. Barring an unforeseen
    track bias -- with a couple of isolated exceptions, the main track at Saratoga
    has for the most part played fairly this year -- the pace will play toward the
    late kick of Exaggerator, and other closers like him.However, unless the
    National Weather Services forecast for Saratoga is horribly wrong, Exaggerator
    will not catch the wet track that was present in all of his big performances
    this year, and, for that matter, in his Delta Downs Jackpot win last year. And
    that presents an interesting question.There are those who maintain that
    Exaggerator is more pace dependent than he is surface dependent, and might even
    go so far as to say he is not surface dependent at all. And to support their
    position, they will point to his win on a fast track in last summers Saratoga
    Special, even if that victory came at the expense of a suspect field.There are
    others who believe Exaggerator needs both a fast pace and a wet track, perhaps
    not in equal measure, but both, nonetheless, to produce his best performance in
    top-level races. I fall into this camp.This storyline is just one of several
    reasons why this Travers is so interesting. We might get the definitive answer
    as to whether Exaggerator is indeed a creation of both tremendously favorable
    pace set ups, and rainy weather, or if he is more than that.
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    and he eventually backstopped the Kings to a skid-snapping win. Quick stopped 27
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    Zvonareva, who won the tournament in 2009 and 10, couldnt handle her opponents
    big groundstrokes in only her third event back after 17 months out with a
    shoulder injury. Zvonareva made her comeback in January in Shenzhen and played
    in the Australian Open but lost her first matches at both tournaments. RIO DE
    JANEIRO -- Olympic officials were full of praise when they awarded the Olympics
    to Rio seven years ago, never imagining such things as the Zika virus and green
    water in the pools.Indeed, they declared that there was absolutely no flaw in
    Rios plans for the games.Many of those plans have since gone awry, as plans
    often do. The first Olympics in South America remains very much a work in
    progress, beset by myriad problems that organizers seem unable -- or unwilling
    -- to solve.Midway through the games, its time to give the Rio Olympics some
    grades:ATMOSPHERE: This isnt London with its iconic venues, but Rio has some
    things going for it as an Olympic host. Beach volleyball on the famed Copacabana
    sand looks good, and so does the sailing on Guanabara Bay, assuming you can
    ignore the raw sewage that pours into it. But the main Olympic park is barren
    and devoid of decoration, the diving and water polo pools are green , and most
    of the venues look like they were built without concern about whether they would
    stay up. Did we mention the sewage stench that greets fans at some venues? Take
    away the occasional samba dancing, and theres not much to get anyone in the
    Olympic spirit. GRADE D-plus.ATTITUDE: There has been plenty of it, from U.S.
    soccer goalie Hope Solo calling the Swedish team a bunch of cowards to an
    Egyptian judoka refusing to shake the hand of his Israeli opponent after a
    match. The best attitude of the whole Olympics, though, came from U.S. swimmer
    Lilly King, who called out her Russian opponent for doping and then backed it up
    by beating her for a gold medal in the pool. These are the best athletes in the
    world, and sometimes they have a lot to say, even if some of it is offensive.
    GRADE B.WATER: What is it about Brazil and water? The country just cant get it
    right. Guanabara Bay looks beautiful on television but dangerous up close, and
    the water in the rowing venue is filled with viruses, much to the displeasure of
    the pair of Serbian rowers who tipped over in it. Meanwhile, the worlds best
    divers plunge into a murky green pool, and water polo was played in a pool so
    full of chlorine that they finally had to drain and refill it. GRADE F.CROWDS:
    Theres a lot to like about fans who cheer loudly for underdogs and the home
    team, and enjoy taunting almost everybody else. OK, maybe they went a bit too
    far when chanting Uh! Youre gonna die! Uh! Youre gonna die! to the opponent of a
    Brazilian fencer, but it seemed to all be done in fun. On the flip side, there
    were lots of empty seats at many events because of high ticket prices or a lack
    of interest. GRADE C.SAFETY: A media bus had its windows shattered and stray
    bullets were twice fired into Olympic complexes. Two Australian coaches were
    robbed at knifepoint near Ipanema beach, and so was Portugals education
    minister. Gang members in a favela killed a Brazillian police officer who took a
    wrong turn while working Olympic security, and fans attending the opening
    ceremony passed by a man shot to death in the street.dddddddddddd Rio was a
    dangerous city to begin with, but the incidents are even more disturbing
    considering there are more than 85,000 security forces deployed to protect the
    games. GRADE D.MEMORABLE PERFORMANCES: Every Olympics has some, even one as
    troubled as Rio. Michael Phelps won a bunch of medals once again, but its not
    like that hasnt happened before. Indeed, the best moments from the pool came
    when Katie Ledecky nearly lapped the field in the 800-meter for her fourth
    Olympic gold, and Simone Manuel became the first African-American woman to win a
    swimming gold. Not as well noticed outside Brazil was Rafaela Silva taking judo
    gold , the first win for the home team. Silva, who grew up in poverty in the
    City of God favela, was subjected to racial abuse from Brazilians after missing
    out on a medal in the 2012 Olympics. Today, Im not an embarrassment for my
    family, she said. GRADE B.DOPING: This has nothing to do with Rio, and
    everything to do with the International Olympic Committee allowing politics to
    mix with cheaters. Five more have been caught doping so far in these games, but
    if history is any indication a lot more will get away with doping in Rio just
    like they have in other Olympics. GRADE D.LOGISTICS: Traveling to different
    venues has been a nightmare at times, largely because Rio is separated by
    mountains and Brazils highways often look more like parking lots. Everyone seems
    to have a story about confused taxi drivers and lengthy bus rides, though for
    the most part the buses have run on time and theyve usually gone to the right
    places. That wasnt true Friday night when British swimmer got on an unmarked bus
    at the Olympic village and was taken to the Olympic Stadium 45 minutes away
    instead of the nearby swimming arena. Swimming officials had to push back the
    50-meter qualifying schedule so she and two others could make it in time. GRADE
    C.OVERALL: Rio was always a disaster waiting to happen, and so far disaster has
    largely been avoided. Hysteria over the Zika virus has faded, there have been no
    terrorist attacks, and only one sailor has reported being sickened by polluted
    waters. More importantly, perhaps, the big television show that is the Olympics
    looks good on TV, even if NBCs ratings are down.Still, every Olympics has its
    problems and Rio has had more than most. If things dont get better in the final
    week, that is how these games will ultimately be remembered. GRADE
    C-minus.----Tim Dahlberg is a national sports columnist for The Associated
    Press. Write to him at tdahlberg(at)ap.org or http://twitter.com/timdahlberg
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